| Issue |
ITM Web Conf.
Volume 23, 2018
XLVIII Seminar of Applied Mathematics
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 00036 | |
| Number of page(s) | 4 | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/itmconf/20182300036 | |
| Published online | 07 November 2018 | |
Probabilistic approach in the heavy rainfall modelling – is model verification needed?
1
Institute of Meteorology and Water Management – National Research Institute, Podleśna Street 61, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland
2
Wrocław University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Environmental Engineering, Wyb. Wyspiańskiego 27, 50-370 Wrocław, Poland
* Corresponding author: marcin.wdowikowski@imgw.pl
The aim of this paper is an attempt to answer the question whether it is necessary to update the probabilistic model of heavy rainfall with the passage of time. Based on IMWM-NRI measurement data in Wroclaw, probabilistic models for data from 1960–2009 with data up to 2017 were compared. The analysis showed that intense rainfall recorded in recent years can significantly affect the course of the depth-duration-frequency (DDF) model.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2018
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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