ITM Web Conf.
Volume 36, 2021The 16th IMT-GT International Conference on Mathematics, Statistics and their Applications (ICMSA 2020)
|Number of page(s)||12|
|Section||Statistics and Data Science|
|Published online||26 January 2021|
Statistical modelling of extreme rainfall in Peninsular Malaysia
Department of Mathematical and Actuarial Sciences, Lee Kong Chian Faculty of Engineering and Science, Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Kajang 43000, Malaysia
2 Department of Civil Engineering, Lee Kong Chian Faculty of Engineering and Science, Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Kajang 43000, Malaysia
* Corresponding author: firstname.lastname@example.org
Flash floods are known as one of the common natural disasters that cost over billions of Ringgit Malaysia throughout history. Academically, an extreme rainfall model is effective in modelling to predict and prevent the occurrence of flash floods. This paper compares four probability distributions, namely, exponential distribution, generalized extreme value distribution, gamma distribution, and Weibull distribution, with the rainfall data of 10 stations in peninsular Malaysia. The period of the data is from 1975 to 2008. The comparison is based on the descriptive and predictive analytics of the models. The determination of the most effective model is through Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Anderson-Darling, and chi-square test. The result shows that generalized extreme value is the most preferred extreme rainfall model for the rainfall cases in Peninsular Malaysia.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2021
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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