| Issue |
ITM Web Conf.
Volume 23, 2018
XLVIII Seminar of Applied Mathematics
|
|
|---|---|---|
| Article Number | 00006 | |
| Number of page(s) | 6 | |
| DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/itmconf/20182300006 | |
| Published online | 07 November 2018 | |
Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions
Wrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of Mathematics, Grunwaldzka 53, 50-357 Wrocław, Poland
* Corresponding author: ewa.diakowska@upwr.edu.pl
This article attempts to assess the future occurrence of a drought using the Sieljaninova hydrothermal index (HTC). Air temperature and total precipitation were simulated for current conditions (2000) and forecast for eight locations of meteorological stations in Poland according to the HAD and GFDL scenarios for RCP 45 and 60 for 2040 and 2060.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2018
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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